Research
& Reports
Living documents from the GAMES simulation engine. Each report binds directly to saved runs, so the charts stay alive and the claims stay auditable.
The Countries That Look Safe Usually Haven't Been Properly Introduced to a Shock
A country can have money, talent, and immaculate conference panels and still mishandle an AI transition. The plumbing matters more than the slogan.
Five European Economies Most Exposed to AI Labor Strain
Germany, Italy, and three others score high on displacement velocity but low on retraining infrastructure. The gap is the risk.
AI Fiscal Multipliers Are Not What Treasuries Think
Traditional fiscal multiplier models assume labor-intensive stimulus. AI changes the arithmetic. We simulate 40 economies to show how.
The South Asia Leapfrog Thesis Is Mostly Wrong
India, Bangladesh, and Pakistan are often cited as AI beneficiaries. The simulation suggests the story is far more conditional than the headlines.
Currency Pressure and the Speed of AI Adoption
Countries that adopt AI fastest may face short-term currency appreciation that hurts export competitiveness. A paradox the models reveal but policymakers ignore.
Institutional Trust as a Predictor of Automation Tolerance
Countries where citizens trust government institutions absorb automation shocks with less political backlash. Trust is not a soft variable — it is load-bearing.