USAGDP Growth+2.8%GMD·JPNDebt/GDP248%IMF·CHNAI Patents38.2%WIPO·NGAAI VulnerabilityHighSFC·GBRUnemployment4.1%ILO·GRCDebt/GDP161%IMF·SGPAI Exposure64%IMF·BGDAI VulnerabilityHighSFC·INDGDP Growth+6.8%GMD·ITADebt/GDP139%IMF·CHEAI Exposure57%IMF·ETHAI VulnerabilityHighSFC·BRAUnemployment7.8%ILO·FRADebt/GDP112%IMF·SWEAI Exposure55%IMF·CHNGDP Growth+4.9%GMD·KORAI Exposure61%IMF·SWETax/GDP42.6%OECD·KORR&D/GDP4.9%WB·ARGInflation211%WB·AUSUnemployment4.0%ILO·DNKTax/GDP46.3%OECD·ISRR&D/GDP5.7%WB·ZAFUnemployment31.9%ILO·CANGDP Growth+2.1%GMD·USATax/GDP27.1%OECD·USAProductivity Δ+1.8%BLS·IDNAI VulnerabilityMediumSFC·MEXGDP Growth+2.4%GMD·GBRTax/GDP35.3%OECD·NLDPass-Through0.61SFC·PHLAI VulnerabilityHighSFC·IDNGDP Growth+5.0%GMD·DEUTax/GDP39.3%OECD·FINAI Exposure52%IMF·EGYUnemployment7.1%ILO·NGAUnemployment5.3%ILO·ZAFDebt/GDP72.5%IMF·GBRPass-Through0.54SFC·COLGini Index0.54WB·VNMGDP Growth+6.1%GMD·BRADebt/GDP88.1%IMF·DEUCapital Δ-0.8%SFC·BRAGini Index0.49WB·POLGDP Growth+2.9%GMD·TURInflation65.2%WB·JPNLabor Share53.2%ILO·USAGini Index0.39WB·USAGDP Growth+2.8%GMD·JPNDebt/GDP248%IMF·CHNAI Patents38.2%WIPO·NGAAI VulnerabilityHighSFC·GBRUnemployment4.1%ILO·GRCDebt/GDP161%IMF·SGPAI Exposure64%IMF·BGDAI VulnerabilityHighSFC·INDGDP Growth+6.8%GMD·ITADebt/GDP139%IMF·CHEAI Exposure57%IMF·ETHAI VulnerabilityHighSFC·BRAUnemployment7.8%ILO·FRADebt/GDP112%IMF·SWEAI Exposure55%IMF·CHNGDP Growth+4.9%GMD·KORAI Exposure61%IMF·SWETax/GDP42.6%OECD·KORR&D/GDP4.9%WB·ARGInflation211%WB·AUSUnemployment4.0%ILO·DNKTax/GDP46.3%OECD·ISRR&D/GDP5.7%WB·ZAFUnemployment31.9%ILO·CANGDP Growth+2.1%GMD·USATax/GDP27.1%OECD·USAProductivity Δ+1.8%BLS·IDNAI VulnerabilityMediumSFC·MEXGDP Growth+2.4%GMD·GBRTax/GDP35.3%OECD·NLDPass-Through0.61SFC·PHLAI VulnerabilityHighSFC·IDNGDP Growth+5.0%GMD·DEUTax/GDP39.3%OECD·FINAI Exposure52%IMF·EGYUnemployment7.1%ILO·NGAUnemployment5.3%ILO·ZAFDebt/GDP72.5%IMF·GBRPass-Through0.54SFC·COLGini Index0.54WB·VNMGDP Growth+6.1%GMD·BRADebt/GDP88.1%IMF·DEUCapital Δ-0.8%SFC·BRAGini Index0.49WB·POLGDP Growth+2.9%GMD·TURInflation65.2%WB·JPNLabor Share53.2%ILO·USAGini Index0.39WB·
Global AI Macroeconomic Effects Simulator · Vol. I · 2026

GAMES

The economy does not guess.
Neither do we.

218 economies. Stock-flow consistent. Every value traceable. Test policy scenarios with explicit assumptions and transparent outcomes.

Simulation PreviewSyncing
SIMULATIONS RUNLIVE
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8 data sources active
United Kingdom GBR
BaseAI+202420262028203020322034
GDP Index (2024 = 100) · Simulated Projection
Real GDP—No data
Unemployment—No data
Inflation—No data
Interest Rate—No data
Debt / GDP—No data
AI Adoption Speed⬡ User
35% — drag to adjust projection
◆
0GMD
Economies Modeled
SFC
Stock-Flow Consistent
0+
User-Controlled Parameters
0%
Provenance on Every Value
◆
Known Unknowns

What we don’t assume

These variables are genuinely unresolved by economic science. GAMES does not guess. We expose them as explicit controls and simulate the consequences of your choices — recording every user-supplied value in the provenance trail.

AI Adoption Speed⬡ User
Rate at which AI technology diffuses across economic sectors.
35%
Price Pass-Through⬡ User
Fraction of AI cost savings that reaches consumer prices.
60%
Productivity Dividend⬡ User
Output gain per unit of AI capital deployed, net of disruption costs.
42%
Labor Displacement Rate⬡ User
Annual share of automatable positions that are actually displaced.
32%
Capital Flight Sensitivity⬡ User
Elasticity of capital flows to differential corporate tax rates.
45%
◆
Global Coverage

218 economies modeled

Dot color indicates AI vulnerability tier, derived from labor structure, adoption readiness, and social-protection capacity. Hover a country to identify it.

EQ
hover a country · representative sample · 218 modeled
Low vulnerabilityMediumHigh vulnerability
Scenario Divergence

Policy paths compared

Drag the AI adoption lever. See how a reactive government and a proactive one reach entirely different futures at the exact same adoption speed.

AI Adoption Speed⬡ User
50% — drag to adjust projection
REACTIVEΔPROACTIVE
GDP Growth1.4%+2.2%3.6%
Unemployment6.5%+2.9%3.6%
Labor Share55%+8%63%
Debt / GDP84%+20%64%
Late-response · reactive stabilizersPre-emptive · managed transition
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Featured Economies

Case studies

United StatesUSA
Population—No data
Real GDP—No data
GDP per Capita—No data
Unemployment—No data
Inflation—No data
AI
Examine →
United KingdomGBR
Population—No data
Real GDP—No data
GDP per Capita—No data
Unemployment—No data
Inflation—No data
Examine →
GermanyDEU
Population—No data
Real GDP—No data
GDP per Capita—No data
Unemployment—No data
Inflation—No data
GDPUNEAI
Examine →
ChinaCHN
Population—No data
Real GDP—No data
GDP per Capita—No data
Unemployment—No data
Inflation—No data
Examine →
JapanJPN
Population—No data
Real GDP—No data
GDP per Capita—No data
Unemployment—No data
Inflation—No data
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BrazilBRA
Population—No data
Real GDP—No data
GDP per Capita—No data
Unemployment—No data
Inflation—No data
Examine →
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Question Catalog

Questions we answer

200+ questions · 11 stakeholder groups · sample below
PUBLIC
Citizen
  1. 01Will AI increase or decrease unemployment in my country?
  2. 02What happens to wages if AI adoption is aggressive?
  3. 03Does AI lead to deflation or inflation here?
  4. 04How does AI affect government debt and taxes?
  5. 05Which sectors are most exposed to AI in my country?
  6. 06How does my country compare to peers under the same scenario?
POLICY
Policymaker
  1. 01What UBI level keeps aggregate demand stable at 30% adoption?
  2. 02Fiscal impact of a robot tax versus a VAT increase?
  3. 03How does capital flight respond to corporate tax rates?
  4. 04If AI is deflationary, do we risk a debt-deflation spiral?
  5. 05What spending mix minimizes unemployment while controlling debt?
  6. 06What tax structure stabilizes debt-to-GDP over 20 years?
RESEARCH
Research
  1. 01How sensitive is GDP to AI productivity versus displacement?
  2. 02How does price pass-through affect inflation outcomes?
  3. 03What is the elasticity of capital flight to tax differentials?
  4. 04How do AI shocks propagate through trade linkages?
  5. 05Which parameter ranges lead to unstable equilibria?
  6. 06How robust are policy rankings across uncertainty sets?
MEDIA
Media & Narrative
  1. 01Which economies are most vulnerable to AI displacement?
  2. 02Which economies gain most from AI productivity?
  3. 03What is the best-case vs worst-case outlook for workers?
  4. 04How much does AI accelerate inequality?
  5. 05Which indicators should the public track each year?
  6. 06What assumptions drive the gap between optimistic and pessimistic scenarios?
◆
Methodology

How the engine works

01
Data Anchoring
Independently Verified

Macro anchors drawn from GMD, ILO, World Bank, IMF, and OECD. Tax composition and statutory rates from ATAF, CIAT, Tax Foundation, and PwC. Coverage spans 218 economies. All ingested data is immutable: source conflicts are logged in provenance records, never silently overwritten.

GMDILOWBIMFOECDATAFCIATTFPwC
02
SFC Engine
Deterministic

A stock-flow consistent engine enforces accounting identities at every step: every flow updates a stock, and identical inputs produce identical outputs.

03
Known Unknowns
User-Defined

Five structural uncertainties are not assumed: AI adoption speed, price pass-through, productivity dividend, labor displacement rate, and capital flight sensitivity. They are returned to you as explicit controls, and every choice is recorded in the provenance trail.