Global AI Macroeconomic Effects Simulator · Vol. I · 2026

Intelligence for
the AI transition
economy.

GAMES is a structural economic intelligence platform built to answer a single question: what happens to the world economy when artificial intelligence changes how nations produce, employ, tax, and trade?

No existing platform offered daily, scenario-driven analysis at this scale. GAMES models all 195 countries (218 economies) with transparent assumptions and audit-ready outputs.

0Sovereign economies
0Model variables
0Data sources
3 yrResearch programme
◆
The Platform

What the platform does

GAMES is not a forecasting tool. It is a scenario engine. Users define adoption paths and policy interventions; the platform computes the structural consequences across GDP, employment, fiscal balances, inflation, and trade — calibrated to each country's observed economic reality.

◎01
Country-Level Intelligence
Structural economic trajectories for every sovereign economy — from G10 nations to frontier markets — each initialised from observed national accounts.
◈02
Scenario Simulation
Nine canonical policy scenarios with user-adjustable parameters. Test fiscal interventions, AI adoption curves, and tax-structure changes against any country baseline.
◇03
Multi-Country Comparison
Run parallel trajectories across up to five countries under different scenarios. Compare GDP paths, unemployment dynamics, and debt sustainability side by side.
◆04
Global Policy Laboratory
Test unilateral, coalition, and global policy adoption. Identify tipping points where a policy becomes dominant, and quantify first-mover advantage.
◉05
Global Intelligence Dashboard
World macro aggregates, country rankings, vulnerability indices, and trade-capital flow corridor analysis across the full simulation horizon.
◌06
Daily Data Refresh
Core macroeconomic anchors update daily from international sources. Structural ratios and decomposition layers refresh on their native publication cadence.
◈

GAMES serves governments, researchers, media, and individuals: policy testing, model analysis, evidence-led reporting, and public understanding of economic impacts.

◆
Analytical Rigour

Analytical rigour

GAMES enforces macroeconomic identities, calibrates to observed international data, and preserves provenance on every reported value.

01
Stock-Flow Consistency
Every financial flow in the model has a destination. Every balance-sheet stock evolves from prior stocks plus flows. This is not an assumption — it is an accounting identity enforced at runtime.
02
Calibration to Observed Data
The model does not begin from theoretical priors. It initialises from actual national accounts — GDP, government debt, tax revenue, labour force — sourced from international statistical agencies.
03
Multi-Tier Source Hierarchy
Multiple data source tiers from anchor-grade (IMF, OECD, GMD) down to structured estimation. Every variable carries a provenance tag identifying its source, method, and quality tier.
04
Identity Verification
At each simulation step, the model verifies core macroeconomic identities: demand-side GDP versus income-side GDP, government debt stock transitions, and tax decomposition consistency.
05
Transparent Uncertainty
Where data is estimated rather than observed, the model flags it explicitly. Fallback values, proxy derivations, and coverage gaps are never hidden — they are part of the output provenance.
06
Bounded Horizon
All trajectories run an eight-year forward simulation. Beyond this window, structural uncertainty accumulates to the point where directional conclusions become unreliable. The model does not extrapolate beyond it.
◉On methodology

Documentation and variable definitions are published in stages. Core engine code and proprietary estimation methods remain private.

◆
The Team

Team and development

GAMES is built by a multidisciplinary team spanning economics, data engineering, product, and policy.

RESEARCH
Economics & Model Design
Structural macroeconomic modelling, calibration methodology, stock-flow consistency frameworks, and scenario architecture. Rooted in a three-year research programme.
ENGINEERING
Data Engineering
Automated ingestion from international statistical agencies. Daily refresh pipelines, quality assurance, provenance tracking, and coverage monitoring.
ENGINEERING
Platform & Frontend
Full-stack application development. Interactive simulation interfaces, real-time charting, multi-country comparison tools, and global intelligence dashboards.
ADVISORY
Policy & Domain Expertise
Scenario design informed by actual fiscal policy mechanisms. User persona definition, question catalog curation, and output interpretation guidance for policymakers.
Development timeline
2023
Research programme initiated. Core model architecture and stock-flow consistency framework established.
2024
Multi-source data pipeline operational. First 160-country calibration achieved. Scenario engine deployed.
2025
Coverage expanded to 218 economies. Daily refresh pipeline. Global intelligence and policy laboratory modules launched.
2026
Platform redesign. Advanced game-theoretic analysis, adversarial scenarios, and strategy intelligence layers added.
◆
Transparency

Transparency commitment

Every published value includes provenance, and model limits are stated plainly.

01
Source provenance
Every variable carries a tag identifying its data source, quality tier, anchor year, and estimation method. Users always know whether a number is observed, derived, or estimated.
02
Explicit assumptions
Policy parameters — price pass-through, productivity dividend, displacement efficiency, capital flight sensitivity — are user-controlled. The platform models consequences of stated assumptions, not predictions about human choices.
03
Model scope declared
GAMES produces directional intelligence, not point forecasts. It does not predict political decisions, central bank actions, or unprecedented technological discontinuities. These boundaries are documented, not buried.
04
Controlled publication model
Public documentation, schemas, and registries are released selectively. Core simulation systems and proprietary implementation details remain private.
◈Get in touch

GAMES is developed by Anomaly. For academic collaboration, policy advisory partnerships, or institutional access, reach us at hello@anomaly.co.